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Study: Full jails not lowering crime
By Associated Press
Published: 10/16/2000


Putting more people in prison doesn't automatically result in less crime, says an organization that advocates alternatives to incarceration.
Although the study by The Sentencing Project acknowledged that the connection comes into play quite often, it says that's not automatically the case.
The private group based its findings on an analysis of crime statistics from 1991 to 1998 from the FBI's Uniform Crime Report. During that period, overall U.S. crime decreased by 22 percent, the study said.
During the same time frame, the number of state and federal prisoners across the country rose by a half, to more than 1.2 million.
However, the Sentencing Project said, much of the reduction in crime rates is due to the expanding economy, changing demographics and new approaches to policing, among other factors.
Rising incarceration rates in some states didn't bring about a commensurate drop in crime, the group said in its report, 'Diminishing Returns: Crime and Incarceration in the 1990s.' Some advocates have long argued that some policymakers try to use tougher penalties as deterrents to crime.
The FBI statistics show that many states where the rates of incarceration rose saw large reductions in crime, the Sentencing Project acknowledged. But, the group said, the numbers also show crime rates fell steeply in a few states with much smaller increases in prison population.
For instance, in Texas the number of prisoners per 100,000 people rose 144 percent from 1991 to 1998, a rate of incarceration that led the nation. However, the group said, Texas saw a 35 percent drop in crime - among the highest of the 50 states.
But Massachusetts also saw a 35 percent drop in crime, while its incarceration rate rose by only 21 percent, said the group, which drew its conclusions from an analysis of prison populations and crime rates.
'What this shows us is that continuing to build and fill prisons is a limited strategy in responding to crime, and that the fiscal cost and the social cost may be too great to bear, given that we have better approaches to dealing with these problems,' said Marc Mauer, the group's executive director.
New York, which saw its crime rate drop the most precipitously, by 43 percent, saw its incarceration rate rise only 24 percent, the study said.
California, which saw a 36 percent drop in crime, saw its rate of incarcerations rise 52 percent.
On average, states' rate of incarcerations rose by 47 percent and saw a 15 percent drop in crime. That included a 12 percent drop in violent crime and a 15 percent drop in property crime.
Maine was the only state to show a single-digit increase in incarceration - 2 percent – but had a drop in crime comparable to many other states. In Maine, the crime rate dropped 19 percent, the study said.


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