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Got an extra $27 Billion?
By Sarah Etter, News Reporter
Published: 02/19/2007

Money0219 Last week, the Pew Charitable Trusts released the first in a series of reports about the nation's prison population called the Public Safety Performance Project.

The first offering, Public Safety, Public Spending: Forecasting America's Prison Population, made headlines across the country after researchers found that the prison population is expected to triple over the next five years, and will cost taxpayers more than $27 billion by the year 2011.

“There are two main headlines here,” says Adam Gelb, PSPP project director. “The first is that getting tough in criminals has gotten tough on taxpayers. The second is that these numbers are not inevitable. If we do something about this now, we can lower these estimates.”

The report, prepared by the non-profit JFA Institute, a criminal justice research center, projects inmate population and costs on a state-by-state basis. Researchers contacted every DOC in the United States to get their local estimates; Gelb says that 42 states had inmate population projections on hand, and PCT researchers helped the eight other sort out their numbers.

“This wasn't some mathematical formula that tried to predict on a national level what the prison population was going to do,” Gelb explains. “This was simply compiling the information that most DOCs had and then using those numbers to create a national estimate. On costs, we looked at the individual state cost of incarceration on a yearly basis and built the national cost estimate from that.”

The study, which is the first to project a national prison population in every state, also estimates that the prison population will increase by 13 percent over the next 5 years, but the entire population in the U.S. is only expected to grow by 4.5 percent.

Some states should fair better than others. According to the report, Delaware, Connecticut and New York are expected to maintain their current inmate population, while Montana, Arizona, Alaska, Idaho and Vermont “will see their prison systems grow by one third or more.”

Meanwhile, the female prison population is estimated to grow by 16 percent, and the male population by 12 percent. The report also examined the cost of incarceration and found that although “the Northeast boasts the lowest incarceration rates, it has the highest cost per prisoner, led by Rhode Island” at $44, 860 per inmate annually. Louisiana was at the bottom of the cost list, spending $13, 009 per offender.

As states across the country begin to review the numbers, Gelb says he hopes they will keep one thing in mind.

“I want to make sure I'm clear about this. Our project doesn't take a position on whether any particular state has too many people in prison or that certain types of offenders should or shouldn't be locked up. These are decisions for states to make. But we think they are decisions that should be made based on cold, hard facts about costs and effective alternatives,” Gelb says.

Another thing to keep in mind is that each state is doing something different with their inmate population. According to Gelb, some states ranked lowest on the projection spectrum because of recent changes.

“North Carolina and Connecticut have done some things to help slow the growth of their population like revising mandatory sentencing laws. They have managed to not only slow that growth, but also remain in line with the average crime rates of the rest of the country, so it can be done,” Gelb points out.

As states review where they fit in on the projection list, Gelb hopes the public understands the point of the research.

“We wanted to draw attention to one thing,” Gelb says. “And that's the giant bill that's coming due unless we have an open discussion about this issue.”

Related Resources:

The JFA Institute

More inmates, less death row, 12/18/06



Comments:

  1. hamiltonlindley on 03/20/2020:

    Hamilton is a sports lover, a demon at croquet, where his favorite team was the Dallas Fancypants. He worked as a general haberdasher for 30 years, but was forced to give up the career he loved due to his keen attention to detail. He spent his free time watching golf on TV; and he played uno, badmitton and basketball almost every weekend. He also enjoyed movies and reading during off-season. Hamilton Lindley was always there to help relatives and friends with household projects, coached different sports or whatever else people needed him for.


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